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1. No No. 16 seed has ever beaten a No. 1 seed so just forget about those
games altogether and move the No. 1 seeds on to the second round. 2. Pick your big upsets carefully. It is inevitable that a No. 12, 13 or 14 seed will win in the first two days but judging which one is rarely a gimmie. The best idea, if you are dead set on picking a big first round upset, is to judge who that team would play in the second round. If your determination is that regardless of who wins the 5 vs. 12 game, they cannot beat the No. 4 seed in the next round, then go ahead. 3. Be careful not to send teams too deep into the tournament, regardless of their seed, if they have a key injury. 4. Don't underestimate the familiarity factor. Most conference teams play each other twice during the regular season. If you have a potential inter-conference matchup in your bracket, take a look at what happened between those two teams in the regular season and whether they faced off in their conference tournament. It is rare that a team can beat another three or four times in the same season. 5. Remember that nobody is due anything. Don't think that just because a team or coach hasn't won in a long time (or ever) that that will give them an advantage over somebody who has been there, done that. Experience counts a lot in the tournament, especially for the coaches. 6. Don't let yourself fall into the "homer" trap of sending your favorite team too far into the tournament. Be objective. It's the only way to stay in the game. |
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